2026年牛市面临多重考验 华尔街在安逸中警惕宏观风险“黑天鹅”
Ge Long Hui A P P·2026-01-06 10:52

Core Viewpoint - Christopher Harvey, head of equity and portfolio strategy at Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, suggests that investor expectations for two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year may be overly optimistic due to persistent inflation [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - Harvey indicates that U.S. corporations may lower their profit growth expectations after recent stock price surges, potentially undermining a key pillar of the bull market [1] - He warns that the coming months may be characterized by a "period of severe risk aversion," especially in light of recent events that could quickly reintroduce unknown factors by 2026 [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Harvey advises clients to prepare their portfolios for volatility by shifting towards high-quality assets [1] - His insights are noteworthy as he was among the few strategists who accurately predicted a significant rebound in the stock market following the tariff turmoil in April of the previous year [1] Group 3: Investor Caution - Other Wall Street analysts also emphasize the need for vigilance among investors, despite the limited nature of the Venezuelan incident [1]

2026年牛市面临多重考验 华尔街在安逸中警惕宏观风险“黑天鹅” - Reportify