10年新高！转债市场火了

Core Viewpoint - The China Convertible Bond Index has reached a new high not seen in over a decade, reflecting its unique value in the volatile equity market, characterized by both offensive and defensive capabilities [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On January 6, the China Convertible Bond Index surged by 1.35% to 505.77 points, marking the highest level since June 2015 [2]. - The recent performance of the index has been strong since 2025, highlighting its resilience amid fluctuations in the equity market [1][2]. - The strong performance of convertible bonds is closely linked to the performance of underlying stocks, with the index showing a rise of 18.66% in 2025, slightly outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index's 18.41% increase [5]. Group 2: Key Drivers - The core catalyst for the current market rally is the commercialization breakthrough in the brain-computer interface industry, with significant announcements from companies like Neuralink [3]. - Domestic policy support has intensified, with regulatory bodies accelerating the approval processes for related medical devices [3]. - Notable convertible bonds such as the Seli Convertible Bond have seen substantial gains, driven by the strong performance of their underlying stock, Seli Medical, which has been favored due to its advancements in AI and medical data [2][3]. Group 3: Market Trends and Analysis - Analysts have identified two main characteristics of the current convertible bond rally: the clear influence of underlying stock performance and the concentration of investment in high-growth sectors such as brain-computer interfaces and AI healthcare [3]. - The convertible bond market is experiencing a structural rally, with several bonds showing gains exceeding 10% [3]. - The market sentiment is expected to improve further due to seasonal capital inflows and policy expectations, potentially leading to a "spring rally" in the A-share and convertible bond markets [7].