现代院年度战略报告:中国之治为动荡世界注入更多稳定性
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-06 11:13

Group 1 - The report highlights a profound shift in the international order by 2025, with increasing deficits in peace, development, security, and governance, necessitating new ideas and solutions for global governance [1] - China is positioned as a stabilizing force in the world economy amidst turbulence, emphasizing its commitment to multilateralism and the principles of the UN Charter [1] - The world economy is entering an unusual new cycle characterized by both fragility and resilience, with the future dependent on strategic choices made by countries as past technological revolutions and industrial changes lose their benefits [1] Group 2 - The report predicts significant changes in the U.S. under a potential second term for Trump, with intensified political polarization and potential increases in social and political violence affecting domestic and foreign policy effectiveness [2] - In 2026, China will focus on high-quality development and high-level security, continuing proactive diplomacy to maintain regional stability and lead global governance reforms [2] - The report notes an increase in global geopolitical competition, with middle powers like Turkey, Brazil, and South Africa playing a more prominent role in conflict mediation and climate governance, accelerating the process of global multipolarity [2]