Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2026-01-06 17:56Core Viewpoint - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has surged due to tightening supply expectations, reaching a new high of 137,940 yuan/ton, with significant increases in both spot and futures prices [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for lithium carbonate has been robust, driven primarily by the growth in energy storage needs, leading to a "rush to buy" from downstream customers [3][4]. - Inventory levels of lithium carbonate have been declining for 19 consecutive weeks, indicating strong demand and rapid consumption of existing stocks [5]. - The supply of lithium carbonate is expected to grow by approximately 59% in 2026, while global demand is projected to increase by 32%, highlighting a shift from oversupply to a tighter balance [7]. Policy and Market Confidence - Government policies, such as subsidies for electric vehicle replacements and expanding energy storage compensation standards, are enhancing market confidence in long-term demand for lithium [6]. - The continuation of these policies is expected to support the growth of the lithium carbonate market, particularly in the energy storage sector [6]. Industry Trends and Mergers - The rising prices of lithium carbonate have sparked increased merger and acquisition activity within the industry, as companies seek to secure valuable lithium resources [9][10]. - Notable transactions include Salt Lake Co. acquiring a 51% stake in Minmetals Salt Lake for over 4.6 billion yuan, and Shengxin Lithium Energy's acquisition of a 30% stake in Qicheng Mining for 2.08 billion yuan [9][10].