Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-07 01:18Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector is experiencing significant growth, with major companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum reaching historical highs, and the popular ETF, Huabao Non-ferrous ETF, hitting record levels as well [1][10] Group 1: Market Performance - On January 6, the non-ferrous metal sector led the market, with Zijin Mining's market capitalization surpassing 1 trillion yuan for the first time [1][10] - Huabao Non-ferrous ETF (159876) saw a price increase of 4.21%, reaching a new historical high [1][10] - The ETF has experienced a net inflow of 97.49 million yuan over the past five days, totaling 126 million yuan over the last 20 days, indicating strong market interest [1][10] Group 2: Economic Indicators - Federal Reserve Governor Milan indicated that upcoming economic data may support further interest rate cuts, with expectations of a reduction exceeding 100 basis points this year [3][12] - Analysts from CITIC Securities believe that as long as the Fed remains in a rate-cutting cycle, non-ferrous metal prices will continue to have upward momentum [3][12] Group 3: Sector-Specific Insights - In the aluminum sector, concerns over the stability of electrolytic aluminum supply have arisen due to the indefinite shutdown of the Mozal aluminum plant in Mozambique, with global demand expected to increase by 150,000 to 187,000 tons by 2026 [4][13] - The copper market is projected to face a supply gap exceeding 100,000 tons by 2026, driven by regional supply mismatches and optimistic demand forecasts from the U.S. and China [4][13] - In the gold market, geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Venezuela, are expected to drive safe-haven investments into precious metals, maintaining a strong outlook for gold prices [4][13] Group 4: Future Outlook - Various institutions are bullish on non-ferrous metal prices, with UBS raising its 2026 gold price target to $5,000 and Citigroup predicting copper prices to reach $15,000 per ton by mid-year [5][14] - The non-ferrous sector is anticipated to enter a bull market driven by a convergence of monetary policy, demand, and supply dynamics [5][14][6] Group 5: ETF Coverage - Huabao Non-ferrous ETF and its associated funds cover a wide range of sectors including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, allowing investors to capture the overall sector's performance across different economic cycles [7][15]