Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-07 01:44Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a positive shift in investor sentiment towards Chinese real estate stocks, driven by a commentary in the "Qiushi" magazine suggesting a potential change in government policy regarding the real estate market [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Chinese real estate stocks have shown an upward trend, with notable increases in share prices: Longfor Group (4.37%), R&F Properties (3.77%), Agile Group (3.57%), China Overseas Land & Investment (3.04%), China Resources Land (3.82%), China Jinmao (2.75%), and Sunac China (2.27%) [1] Group 2: Policy Insights - JPMorgan notes that the commentary in "Qiushi" magazine has raised investor hopes for a shift in policy, advocating for substantial measures rather than incremental ones, especially after a lack of significant policies last year [1] - The article suggests that the current discourse from officials regarding the real estate market may finally be changing, given the ongoing decline in housing prices and sales since the second half of last year [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - JPMorgan predicts that without substantial policy changes, the downward trend in the real estate sector will continue, forecasting a 7% decline in sales and a 5% drop in housing prices for the year [1] - However, the current market conditions, particularly the impact of weak housing prices on consumer spending, increase the likelihood of more robust policy support this year, indicating potential upside risks to JPMorgan's forecasts [1]