碳市场质效双升 碳金融大有可为

Core Insights - The national carbon market in 2025 is characterized by expansion, increased vitality, and structural optimization, with Shanghai leading in innovative practices such as carbon finance and quota allocation [1][2] Group 1: Market Expansion and Performance - The national carbon market has expanded its coverage to include the steel, cement, and aluminum industries as of March 2025, marking the first time these sectors are included [2] - Shanghai has achieved a 100% compliance rate in carbon quota submissions for 12 consecutive years, covering 28 industries including electricity, steel, and aviation [2] - By the end of November 2025, the total transaction volume in Shanghai's carbon market reached 2.66 billion tons, amounting to 5.611 billion yuan, ranking among the top in the nine local pilot carbon markets [2][3] Group 2: Market Mechanisms and Innovations - Shanghai has introduced a "power-carbon" collaborative mechanism and established incentives for pollution reduction, rewarding outstanding companies with 0.3% to 0.5% in free quota allocations [2] - The market has seen a steady growth in trading volume and improved market balance, with the price mechanism maturing amidst fluctuations [3] - Shanghai has launched a "carbon spot + carbon forward" linkage model and has engaged in practices such as carbon pledging, carbon repurchase, and carbon insurance [3] Group 3: Financial Services and Challenges - The entry of the steel industry into the national carbon market is expected to significantly impact pricing in both steel products and related financial products [4] - There is a gap between available carbon financial tools and the actual needs of enterprises, complicating financial business models like pledge financing [4] - Financial institutions are focusing on building capabilities in carbon emission measurement, scenario analysis, and strategic policy guidance to manage climate-related financial risks [5] Group 4: Future Directions and Policy Framework - Shanghai aims to enhance its carbon market into an internationally influential center for carbon trading, finance, pricing, and innovation by 2026-2030 [6] - The market is set to improve quota management and attract more non-compliance entities, while also enhancing regulatory frameworks [6] - Carbon financial innovation will proceed cautiously, prioritizing services before products and expanding coverage of carbon accounts to facilitate individual and corporate compliance [6]