连创新高!机构:半导体设备自主可控可能是确定性最高的趋势之一
Jin Rong Jie·2026-01-07 03:04

Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor equipment sector is experiencing strong momentum driven by the explosive demand for AI computing power, rising storage chip prices, and accelerated capital investment in domestic capabilities. Group 1: Market Performance - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) opened with a significant jump of 2.4% and is currently up 4.37%, reaching a new high since its listing with a latest scale of 2.747 billion yuan and attracting 153 million yuan in the last five trading days [1] - Key stocks in the sector have shown remarkable performance, with companies like Zhongwei Company, North Huachuang, and Nanda Optoelectronics seeing increases of over 5%, 11%, and 13% respectively [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - The global semiconductor market is projected to reach $975 billion by 2026, with a growth rate exceeding 25%, driven by AI computing and a recovery in consumer electronics and automotive sectors [3] - The semiconductor manufacturing equipment market is expected to reach $133 billion by 2025, marking a 13.7% increase, with further growth anticipated in subsequent years [3] Group 3: Demand Drivers - The demand for semiconductor equipment is being significantly boosted by technological advancements, with equipment usage increasing by 1.7 to 1.8 times compared to traditional processes due to the competition in advanced processes and storage chip upgrades [6] - The domestic substitution trend is accelerating, with predictions indicating that the localization rate of semiconductor equipment could reach 22% by 2025, particularly in etching, cleaning, and CMP processes [7] Group 4: Policy and Financial Support - Recent capital movements, including Longxin's IPO raising approximately 30 billion yuan and the increase in funding for SMIC, indicate a robust financial backing for the semiconductor sector [8] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks an index that focuses on high-tech barriers and value concentration in the upstream sector, with nearly 60% equipment content [9] Group 5: Historical Performance - The CSI Semiconductor Equipment Index has shown a remarkable increase of 62.33% in 2025, with a maximum increase exceeding 80%, outperforming other mainstream semiconductor indices [11]