美国对委行动：短视的强权，代价高昂的未来｜国际识局

Core Viewpoint - The recent U.S. military intervention in Venezuela represents a significant and direct violation of international law and sovereignty, reminiscent of past interventions in Latin America, and is unlikely to result in long-term stability [1][2][5]. Group 1: Tactical Outcomes - The U.S. action achieved immediate tactical goals, creating a narrative of decisiveness and success domestically, but such unilateral military actions historically fail to maintain stability [1][2]. - The intervention reflects a shift in U.S. strategy from pressure tactics to outright destruction, indicating a depletion of diplomatic options and raising geopolitical costs [2]. Group 2: Economic and Resource Considerations - The intervention is driven by practical economic interests, particularly in Venezuela's vast oil reserves, which have been underutilized due to sanctions and mismanagement [2]. - The U.S. aims to facilitate its energy companies' entry into Venezuela to restore oil production, which raises concerns about sovereignty and equitable resource management [2]. Group 3: Domestic Political Implications - The military action aligns with U.S. domestic political logic, where demonstrating a strong foreign policy can bolster political capital and support among voters [3]. - This approach, while temporarily effective in rallying domestic support, risks undermining long-term diplomatic strategies and responsibilities for regional stability [3]. Group 4: Geopolitical Repercussions - The intervention revives the "Monroe Doctrine" mindset, suggesting that the U.S. views Latin America as a region for unilateral intervention, which could lead to increased regional tensions and a reevaluation of security and development strategies among Latin American countries [5]. - The U.S. risks further damaging its international credibility by violating its own principles of a rules-based international order, which could have long-lasting effects on its global standing [5][6]. Group 5: Structural Consequences - The intervention may accelerate the restructuring of geopolitical and economic alliances, as countries seek to reduce reliance on the U.S. and explore alternative partnerships and financial systems [6]. - The reliance on military intervention reflects a dangerous mindset that undermines international law and the principles of mutual respect and cooperation necessary for global stability [7].