戴德梁行：2025年深圳优质购物中心净吸纳量同比增长3.0% TMT行业拉动甲级写字楼租赁需求

Group 1: Market Overview - In 2025, Shenzhen's retail property market is expected to see significant supply highlights, positively impacting market confidence and consumer potential [1] - The total supply of quality shopping centers in Shenzhen for 2025 is projected to reach 763,000 square meters, with notable openings including major shopping centers like Qianhai Ice and Snow World and Shenzhen Bay MixC Phase II [1] - The net absorption of quality shopping centers in Shenzhen is anticipated to reach 613,000 square meters, a 3% increase from 2024, although the vacancy rate is expected to rise slightly to 9.1% [2] Group 2: Rental Trends - The average rent for quality shopping centers in Shenzhen is projected to decrease by 10.7% to 697.1 yuan per square meter per month due to competitive market pressures [2] - The average rent for Grade A office buildings in Shenzhen is expected to decline by 11.7% to 149.4 yuan per square meter per month by the end of 2025, reflecting a tenant-driven market [3] Group 3: Sector Dynamics - The introduction of new shopping centers aims to create diverse consumer experiences while enhancing urban aesthetics, with 1,657,000 square meters of quality shopping centers planned for the next three years [2] - The TMT sector is the largest contributor to Grade A office leasing demand in Shenzhen, accounting for about one-third of total demand, driven by the rapid development of the AI industry [3] - The "cost reduction and efficiency enhancement" strategy remains crucial for enterprises, influencing their demand for office properties [3]