小摩:预计2026年反内卷政策推动的储能行业整合 对协鑫科技(03800)等予“增持”评级
智通财经网·2026-01-07 07:39

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley reports a significant increase in solar wafer and battery prices by December 2025, primarily due to rising costs of key materials such as polysilicon and silver paste, along with some influence from anti-involution policies [1] - The establishment of a polysilicon industry consolidation platform is expected in early December 2025, with policy-driven industry consolidation anticipated to occur in 2026 [1] - The firm has given "overweight" ratings to GCL-Poly Energy (03800) and Daqo New Energy (DQ.US) [1] Group 2 - Goldwind Technology (02208) H-shares and A-shares saw price increases of 17% and 18% respectively from December 31, 2025, to January 6, 2026, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index rose by 4% and the Shenzhen Component Index by 3% [1] - The price surge is attributed to market expectations regarding the value release of Goldwind's 4.14% stake in Blue Arrow Aerospace, which has IPO plans [1] - Since December 31, 2025, Goldwind's market capitalization has increased by approximately 14 billion RMB, with an estimated valuation multiple for Blue Arrow Aerospace reaching 88 times the 2024 fiscal year price-to-book ratio [1] Group 3 - Siyuan Electric (002028.SZ) has signed a three-year memorandum of understanding for energy storage cooperation with CATL (03750), with a total scale of 50GWh [2] - This collaboration demonstrates Siyuan Electric's ambition to develop its energy storage system business, which could support annual revenues of approximately 20 billion RMB once fully operational [2] - Preliminary estimates suggest that this 50GWh partnership may provide over 10% upside to Siyuan Electric's market consensus earnings forecast for the fiscal years 2027 to 2028 [2]

GCL TECH-小摩:预计2026年反内卷政策推动的储能行业整合 对协鑫科技(03800)等予“增持”评级 - Reportify