Jin Rong Shi Bao·2026-01-07 07:46Core Viewpoint - The insurance industry is expected to enter a recovery and growth phase by 2026, marking a "golden era" for companies with strong insurance operational capabilities [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Outlook - Multiple institutions, including CICC, Founder Securities, and CITIC Securities, have released reports expressing optimism about the insurance industry's recovery and growth prospects by 2026 [1]. - The industry is anticipated to transition from a "scale-driven" model to a "management-driven" approach, with a focus on enhancing operational capabilities and sustainable business models [2]. - The insurance sector is at the beginning of a new development cycle, coinciding with the end of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and the start of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1]. Group 2: Life Insurance Sector - CICC predicts that the life insurance sector will experience rapid growth in new business, with a more diversified product structure and a significant improvement in the quality of new business [2]. - The competitive landscape is shifting towards companies with strong life insurance operational capabilities, indicating a move towards high-quality development in the life insurance industry [2][3]. Group 3: Property Insurance Sector - In the property insurance sector, CICC forecasts a slow growth in auto insurance premiums, while head companies are expected to improve underwriting profitability through business structure optimization [2]. - Health insurance is projected to become a significant growth driver, with the implementation of the "reporting and operation integration" policy expected to enhance underwriting profitability for large companies [2]. Group 4: Financial Dynamics - The concept of "value return" is emerging, with the life insurance industry moving from a phase of "short-term equity elasticity" to a "mid-term value recovery" phase [4]. - The sales cycle for participating insurance products has shown a positive trend, with a significant portion of new business sales from participating insurance products [4]. Group 5: Capital Market Role - Insurance funds are expected to play a clearer role as long-term investors in the capital market, with an estimated incremental capital of over 6 trillion yuan expected to flow into the equity market over the next five years [6]. - The regulatory environment is encouraging insurance capital to increase allocations in A-shares, which is expected to provide policy benefits and support the stable development of China's capital market [6].