Core Viewpoint - The performance of Tonghuashun is significantly influenced by the activity level of the capital market, but it also demonstrates resilience during market downturns due to strategic initiatives and its strong market position [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Tonghuashun's revenue is heavily impacted by the capital market's activity, but it has shown resilience during quieter market periods [1] - The resilience is attributed to proactive strategies in new areas such as product innovation, customer expansion, and technology development [1] - According to data from Analysys Qianfan, Tonghuashun leads the securities app market with a market share of 21%, significantly ahead of its closest competitor, Dongfang Caifu [1] Group 2: Business Strategy - The company possesses four key elements: strategic determination, core product technology, comprehensive layout, and advantages in the consumer end [1] - Both C-end and B-end AI initiatives have started to generate revenue, with recent B-end contracts, such as a major deal with Guotai Junan, showcasing its technical capabilities [1] - The C-end AI service, "WenCai AI," has begun implementing tiered pricing [1] Group 3: Financial Projections - Based on a reassessment of Tonghuashun's business, the projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is estimated to be 2.854 billion, 3.513 billion, and 4.308 billion yuan, with growth rates of 57%, 23%, and 23% respectively [1] - Previous profit expectations were lower, at 2.286 billion, 2.749 billion, and 3.159 billion yuan [1] - The current PE ratio for 2026 is 51x, indicating over 20% potential upside, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]
研报掘金丨申万宏源研究:维持同花顺“买入”评级,兼具牛市弹性与平淡期韧性