小摩:对中国国铁行业预测保守 但料续超额完成目标
智通财经网·2026-01-07 08:28

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that China's National Railway Group plans to invest in over 2,000 kilometers of new railway lines and aims for infrastructure investment to reach 520 billion RMB, which sets a solid foundation for the industry's next phase [1] - Morgan Stanley believes that despite a cautious tone in mainland policies, actual investment delivery and new mileage have consistently exceeded expectations, with the National Railway exceeding its annual new line targets by approximately 20% for four consecutive years, a trend expected to continue until 2026 and beyond [1] - The report highlights that China CRRC (01766, 601766.SH) and CRRC Times Electric (03898, 688187.SH) have outperformed the market among domestic railway stocks, with better performance opportunities anticipated for the industry this year [1] Group 2 - The report indicates that increased MU density, ongoing expansion of high-speed rail, and clear demand for multiple units, locomotives, and rail vehicles are expected to continue driving vehicle demand [1] - Both China CRRC and CRRC Times Electric possess strong order volumes and hold dominant market shares, which positions them favorably in the industry [1] - For China Railway Group (00390), even as revenue growth normalizes, the transition to high-value national projects and steady growth in overseas orders will support profit margin resilience and create new growth engines [1]

小摩:对中国国铁行业预测保守 但料续超额完成目标 - Reportify