平安科技创新混合基金经理翟森:AI产业长期发展潜力不容小觑 正从算力竞争迈向应用百花齐放
Quan Jing Wang·2026-01-07 08:35

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the unprecedented growth in global AI capital expenditure, indicating that the AI industry is transitioning into a second phase characterized by diverse applications and infrastructure development [1][2] - AI capital expenditure is projected to reach $600 billion by 2026, which, while significant, remains below the historical peaks of capital expenditure during previous productivity revolutions, which typically reached 3%-4% of GDP [1] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for AI infrastructure is expected to be 31% from 2024 to 2030, potentially reaching $3 trillion by 2030, marking it as the fastest infrastructure growth cycle in history [1] Group 2 - Investment strategies in the AI sector for 2026 will focus on global capital expenditure trends, domestic substitution opportunities, and new growth points in application [1] - Key investment areas include North American computing infrastructure, which is evolving from a focus on GPU to a more integrated system involving computation, memory, storage, and interconnectivity [1] - In China, the penetration of domestic GPU/ASIC in edge computing is accelerating, with increasing acceptance in government, finance, and manufacturing sectors, indicating a shift towards localized AI computing centers [2] - The AI ecosystem in China is developing in parallel with the US, with large model research led by the US and industry model applications showing stronger competitiveness in China [2]