Where Will Uber Technologies Stock Be in 3 Years?

Core Viewpoint - Uber has underperformed the stock market since its 2019 IPO, but there are indications that this trend may change as the company continues to grow and innovate in a rapidly expanding market [2][8]. Group 1: Market Position and Growth - Uber dominates approximately 75% of the ridesharing market in the United States and operates in around 15,000 cities across more than 70 countries [3][4]. - The global ridesharing market is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 18%, reaching $788 billion by 2035, providing a significant tailwind for Uber [4]. - Uber's revenue is growing at a rate of 20% year over year, with nearly $50 billion in annual revenue, and it has converted 17.4% of its revenue into free cash flow over the past four quarters [6]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Valuation - Uber's stock has increased by 25% over the past year, but it currently trades at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of just over 19 times 2026 earnings estimates, indicating a low valuation for a company with strong growth [8]. - The company is expected to have earnings of $4.25 per share in 2026, with a conservative assumption of a 20% CAGR for earnings growth [15]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Future Plans - Concerns exist regarding the rise of self-driving vehicles and autonomous ridesharing services, which could impact Uber's business model, as compensating human drivers is a significant expense [9][10]. - Uber is actively pursuing partnerships, such as with Nvidia, to develop self-driving technology and plans to build an autonomous fleet of 100,000 vehicles starting in 2027 [11]. - If Uber successfully implements its autonomous plans, the stock could potentially trade at a price as high as $294, representing over a 250% gain over three years [16].