Mhmarkets迈汇:美元地位弱化 金价长期增长

Group 1 - The recent surge in the gold market is driven by speculation, with gold prices steadily approaching the historical peak of $4,600 per ounce, supported by its deep appeal as an alternative to the dollar [1][2] - The global monetary system is undergoing profound structural adjustments, which have been accelerated since 2022 due to geopolitical turmoil and the normalization of financial sanctions, challenging the credibility of the dollar [1][2] - Central banks in non-U.S. economies are accelerating the de-dollarization of reserve assets to mitigate potential asset freeze risks, reactivating gold's monetary attributes rather than viewing it solely as a commodity [1][2] Group 2 - The persistent U.S. fiscal deficit and high debt levels are actively undermining the purchasing power of the dollar, with aggressive trade policies and tariff barriers further shaking investor confidence in traditional safe-haven assets like U.S. Treasuries [3] - Data indicates that the deficit spending alone could lead to an annual loss of approximately 5% in the dollar's purchasing power, while gold, driven by limited supply and strong central bank demand, is expected to maintain an annual return of 10% to 20% [3] Group 3 - For wealth protection strategies in 2026, investors are advised to follow central banks' asset allocation logic, as holding fixed-income products in an environment where inflation exceeds bond yields often results in locked-in losses [4] - Gold is increasingly replacing bonds as a true defensive anchor in investment portfolios, allowing investors to more accurately assess their wealth purchasing power and achieve asset preservation and appreciation during prolonged inflationary periods [4]