PAAS Soars 163% in a Year: What's the Right Strategy for Investors?

Core Insights - Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS) stock has appreciated 163% in a year, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's rise of 37.5% and the S&P 500's return of 20.3% [1][9] Company Performance - The company reported revenues of $855 million in Q3 2025, reflecting a 19% year-over-year growth, driven by higher gold and silver prices, despite an $80.5 million decrease in metal sold [10] - Mine operating earnings surged 78.1% year over year to $313 million, with adjusted earnings per share at 48 cents, marking a 50% increase from the previous year [11] - PAAS achieved a record cash flow of $252 million in Q3 2025, increasing its cash and short-term investments balance to $910.8 million [11] Acquisition and Growth Strategy - In September 2025, PAAS completed the acquisition of MAG Silver Corp., enhancing its position as a leading silver producer and strengthening its silver reserve base [4] - The acquisition included a 44% stake in the Juanicipio project, expected to produce 14.7-16.7 million ounces of silver in 2025, significantly impacting PAAS's silver segment performance [5] - The transaction also added full ownership of the Larder exploration project and an earn-in interest in the Deer Trail exploration project, contributing to production, reserves, and cash flow [6] Production Outlook - PAAS increased its silver production outlook for 2025 to 22-25 million ounces from the previous estimate of 20-21 million ounces, following strong performance from the Juanicipio mine [13] - Gold production for 2025 is maintained at 735-800 thousand ounces, reflecting a decline from 895.5 thousand ounces in 2024 due to the cessation of operations at La Arena and lower production at Dolores [14] Market Conditions - Silver prices have increased by 163.4% year over year, driven by resilient industrial demand and supply deficits, with current trading above $70 per ounce [15] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PAAS's earnings for 2025 is pegged at $2.22 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of 181% [19] Valuation - PAAS is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings multiple of 15.26X, which is below the industry average of 17.66X, making it an attractive investment opportunity [23]