锚定“十五五”新图景 外资“跟投”意愿明显
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-07 18:14

Group 1 - The global economic landscape is rapidly evolving, making it crucial to understand China's macro trends and market opportunities, with international financial institutions focusing on the "14th Five-Year Plan" as a core analysis framework [1] - Predictions for China's economic growth in 2026 are set between 4.5% and 5%, with an actual growth forecast of 4.6%, emphasizing a shift towards domestic demand and innovation-driven growth [2] - The focus on expanding domestic demand aligns with the goal of significantly increasing the household consumption rate as outlined in the "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] Group 2 - Foreign institutions express a preference for Chinese assets, recommending an overweight position in Chinese stocks due to expected improvements in corporate governance and targeted policy support for technology and innovation [3][4] - HSBC adopts a "barbell strategy" in the A-share market, balancing high-tech growth sectors with high-yield quality stocks to align with policy directions and capture benefits from AI-driven growth [4] - The international status of the Renminbi is expected to rise, with efforts to enhance its credibility and position as a core currency in the international financial system, marking the establishment of a "strong Renminbi policy" [5] Group 3 - Current foreign investment in Chinese assets is still considered "underweight," but this trend is changing due to the long-term potential of China's technology sector and the diversification of global asset allocation [6] - Following the "9.24" market rally in 2024, many global asset management firms have increased their allocation to Chinese assets, indicating a growing recognition of their long-term value [6]