【环球财经】德国劳动力市场创下2010年以来最差表现

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing deterioration of the German labor market, with unemployment rising to nearly 3 million, the highest level for the same period since 2010 [1] - In December, the number of unemployed increased by 22,900, bringing the total to 2.908 million, while the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.3% [1] - The analysis suggests that the labor market's decline is closely linked to Germany's prolonged economic stagnation, with a cumulative increase of approximately 500,000 unemployed individuals over the past four years [1] Group 2 - Carsten Brzeski, the global macro research head at ING, indicates that the gradual deterioration of the German labor market may continue until 2026 [1] - Despite some high-frequency indicators showing stable employment demand, other metrics such as the Ifo Business Climate Index and the Federal Labor Agency's employment expectations are still declining, alongside rising corporate bankruptcies [1] - Brzeski notes that if the German economy shows signs of cyclical recovery in the coming months, the labor market may stabilize around mid-year, but until then, weak employment will significantly constrain consumer spending and overall economic recovery [1]