德国商业银行：核心通胀有望回落至2% 但欧央行料按兵不动

Core Viewpoint - The inflation rate in the Eurozone is expected to reach or slightly fall below the European Central Bank's (ECB) target of 2% this year, as energy price disturbances diminish and wage growth in major economies slows down [1] Group 1: Inflation Trends - The average inflation rate in the Eurozone has been slightly above the 2% policy target over the past two years [1] - There is potential for further decline in overall inflation levels this year due to base effects [1] - Wage growth in major member countries like France and Italy is showing signs of slowing, which may reduce inflationary pressures [1] Group 2: Core Inflation and ECB Policy - The current core inflation rate stands at 2.3%, which may gradually align with the 2% target [1] - ECB President Christine Lagarde has indicated that monetary policy decisions will "neutralize" short-term fluctuations caused by base effects, avoiding overreaction to temporary data changes [1] - Despite the improving inflation outlook, the ECB may choose to maintain current interest rates in the short term [1]