These 2 Mortgage Stocks Are Set to Rise as Rate Pain Fades, Says Jefferies
Yahoo Finance·2026-01-06 10:58

Company Overview - Walker & Dunlop has been operational since 1937, establishing itself as a significant player in the real estate industry with a market cap of $2 billion and a total transaction volume of $40 billion last year [2] - The company specializes in commercial real estate capital provision, with a diverse portfolio that includes multifamily, industrial, office, retail, and hospitality properties [3] Recent Performance - In the last reported period, 3Q25, Walker & Dunlop's quarterly revenue reached $337.7 million, reflecting a 15.5% increase year-over-year and exceeding expectations by $16.2 million [9] - The company reported a year-to-date total transaction volume of $36.5 billion, marking a 38% year-over-year increase [9] Market Challenges - Walker & Dunlop's shares have declined by 27% over the last three months due to concerns over potential fraudulent loan activities originating during the COVID pandemic [1] - Management has indicated that these issues are not unique to Walker & Dunlop, and underwriting practices have been tightened since the pandemic [1] Analyst Insights - Jefferies analyst Matthew Hurwit notes that Walker & Dunlop has historically maintained positive returns even in challenging rate environments, supported by its fee-based servicing and advisory franchises [10] - Hurwit maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $75, suggesting a potential one-year gain of 23% from the current share price of $58.72 [11] Industry Trends - The Federal Reserve has shifted to an easing mode, implementing a series of interest rate cuts, which may positively impact mortgage demand and originator earnings power [5][8] - Fannie Mae forecasts a 40 basis point decline in the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage by the end of 2026, potentially driving origination volumes to $2.3 trillion in 2026 and $2.5 trillion in 2027 [5]