Core Viewpoint - The announcement by the U.S. President regarding the transfer of 30 to 50 million barrels of Venezuelan oil to the U.S. raises concerns about the viability and risks associated with investing in Venezuela's oil industry, which is currently facing significant challenges [1][5]. Group 1: Oil Transfer Announcement - The Venezuelan interim government plans to transfer 30 to 50 million barrels of oil to the U.S., which is equivalent to approximately 30 to 50 days of Venezuela's oil production [3][5]. - The estimated value of this oil transfer could exceed $2.8 billion based on current WTI crude oil prices [3]. - The oil is expected to be transported by tankers directly to U.S. unloading docks for processing [3]. Group 2: Challenges in Venezuelan Oil Industry - Despite the potential for increased oil production, U.S. oil companies are cautious due to the deteriorating state of Venezuela's oil industry and the risk of significant financial loss [1][5]. - The Venezuelan oil infrastructure is in a state of disrepair, requiring an estimated $53 billion in investment over the next 15 years just to maintain current production levels of approximately 1.1 million barrels per day [5]. - The ongoing U.S. oil embargo has severely restricted Venezuela's oil exports, with predictions that over 70% of the country's oil production could be halted this year [5]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The economic pressure from the U.S. is likely to hinder Venezuela's mild recovery from years of hyperinflation and food shortages, potentially leading to another economic collapse [6]. - Experts warn that the collapse of oil revenues will have severe consequences for the Venezuelan population, possibly resulting in famine or a mass migration crisis [6]. - The forced transfer of oil from third-party investments in Venezuela to the U.S. is viewed as unacceptable and could cause long-term damage to the Venezuelan economy [6].
美国掠取委内瑞拉5000万桶石油?美媒:委温和的经济复苏可能遭扼杀
Huan Qiu Shi Bao·2026-01-08 00:15