趋势研判！2025年中国安徽省电力‌行业装机规模、发电规模、尖峰负荷、绿电交易量及未来发展趋势分析：市场化机制持续完善，绿色交易规模提质扩容[图]

Core Insights - Anhui Province's electricity sector is a core industry supporting the province's and the Yangtze River Delta's energy security, characterized by its foundational, public utility, and energy transition leadership roles [1][5] - The province has implemented a series of policies to enhance market trading systems and pricing mechanisms, stimulating market vitality and ensuring power supply-demand balance [1][5] - Despite a diverse power generation structure, Anhui has been designated as a red alert area for power supply-demand from 2022 to 2024 due to rising demand, with peak load characteristics becoming prominent [1][5] Industry Overview - The electricity sector in Anhui encompasses the production, transmission, distribution, and consumption of electric energy, providing power security for economic and social development while supporting the "Wangdian East Send" energy allocation function [2][5] - The power generation types in Anhui include thermal, hydro, wind, solar, biomass, and new energy storage, with thermal power primarily relying on coal [3][10] Policy Analysis - Anhui has introduced several targeted policies to promote high-quality development of renewable energy and optimize electricity trading rules, including the "Implementation Plan for Market-oriented Reform of Renewable Energy Grid Price" and "Implementation Rules for Long-term Electricity Trading" [5][6] - These policies aim to enhance the electricity market trading system and pricing mechanism, facilitating the transition to a clean, low-carbon, safe, and efficient new power system [5][6] Supply and Demand Analysis - As a key energy supply hub in East China, Anhui's electricity supply structure is continuously optimized, with thermal power as the base supply source and wind and solar as core incremental clean energy [5][6] - The province has faced a persistent power supply gap due to rising demand, with peak load reaching 63.54 million kilowatts in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 13.36% [6][11] Current Development Status - Anhui's renewable energy installed capacity has rapidly expanded, with a total installed capacity of 142 million kilowatts by November 2025, of which renewable energy accounts for 52.2% [7][8] - The province has established a multi-source power supply system, with significant improvements in grid support capabilities, including the completion of a robust 500 kV grid network [8][10] Market Operation Status - Anhui is a pilot province for the national electricity spot market, with significant progress in market-oriented reforms, including the transition to continuous settlement operations by the end of 2024 [11][12] - The green electricity trading scale reached 10.9 billion kilowatt-hours in 2024, ranking fifth nationwide, with a target to exceed 12 billion kilowatt-hours in 2025 [12][14] Future Development Trends - The electricity sector in Anhui will focus on green low-carbon transformation and high-quality development, with an emphasis on optimizing energy structure and expanding renewable energy capacity [14][15] - Market mechanisms will continue to improve, with the formal operation of the spot market and the enhancement of green electricity trading systems [15][16] - The integration of new energy into the market will be a core direction for industry transformation, promoting the development of new business models and enhancing the synergy between energy supply and demand [16][17]