中金公司:预计2026年约2-4万亿元活化资金流向非存款投资领域
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2026-01-08 01:24

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that in 2026, residents are expected to add approximately 2-4 trillion yuan of activated funds flowing into non-deposit investment areas, following the trend of deposit migration in 2025 [1] - In 2026, the maturity schedule of deposits will be more front-loaded, with 32 trillion yuan of long-term fixed deposits maturing, an increase of 4 trillion yuan year-on-year; 61% of these deposits are expected to mature in the first quarter, compared to 51%-58% in 2023-2025 [1] - The company is optimistic about the overall space for fund activation in the first quarter due to the expanding re-pricing of bank deposits [1] Group 2 - The company is optimistic about the incremental demand for insurance, particularly from the transformation of the bancassurance channel; the trend of increased premium income has already been confirmed since the beginning of the year [2] - The outlook for fixed income + products is promising, as the low interest rate environment and deepening capital market reforms are expected to enhance their cost-effectiveness [2] - The demand for money market funds is expected to continue due to the reduced liquidity compensation for fixed deposits [3]

CICC-中金公司:预计2026年约2-4万亿元活化资金流向非存款投资领域 - Reportify