Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Shenwan Hongyuan has raised the profit forecast for Jitu Express (01519) and maintains a "Buy" rating due to the company's strong growth in package volume in Southeast Asia and new markets in Q4 [1][2] - The adjusted net profit forecasts for Jitu Express for 2025-2027 are now estimated at $3.87 billion, $6.02 billion, and $8.88 billion, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 93.01%, 55.69%, and 47.47% respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 33x, 21x, and 15x [1] Group 2 - In Q4 2025, Jitu Express achieved a total package volume of 8.461 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.5%, with Southeast Asia contributing 2.436 billion packages (up 73.6%), while China saw a slight decline of 0.4% to 5.891 billion packages [2] - The company maintained a high growth rate in Southeast Asia, with a total package volume of 7.366 billion in Q4 2025, representing a 67.8% year-on-year increase, driven by increased investments from e-commerce platforms and promotional activities [3] - In new markets, Jitu Express's package volume reached 1.3 billion in Q4 2025, up 79.7%, with an annual total of 4.04 billion packages, reflecting a 43.6% increase, attributed to the improvement of the express network and operational efficiency [4]
申万宏源:维持极兔速递-W(01519)“增持”评级 东南亚及新市场业务量高增