2025年全球制造业PMI均值为49.6% 亚洲、非洲制造业有所回升

Group 1: Global Manufacturing PMI Overview - In December 2025, the global manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points from November 2025, remaining within the 49% to 50% range for ten consecutive months [1] - The average global manufacturing PMI for 2025 was 49.6%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to 2024, indicating a weak recovery in the global economy [1] - Analysts suggest that the recovery momentum is slowing, and further efforts are needed to strengthen the recovery, particularly in light of tariff policies and geopolitical conflicts [1] Group 2: Regional Manufacturing Performance - In December 2025, Asia's manufacturing PMI was 51.1%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating continued expansion and a key support role for the global economy [2] - Africa's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.7% in December 2025, an increase of 1.3 percentage points, suggesting a strengthening recovery in the African economy [3] - In contrast, Europe’s manufacturing PMI was 49.3%, down 0.3 percentage points, reflecting a weak recovery with ongoing uncertainties affecting the region [4] Group 3: Specific Country Insights - The IMF and World Bank have raised China's economic growth forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the IMF projecting growth rates of 5.0% and 4.5%, respectively [3] - The U.S. manufacturing PMI was reported at 47.9% in December 2025, a decline of 0.3 percentage points, indicating a worsening trend in the U.S. manufacturing sector [5] - Analysts predict that the U.S. economy will maintain a growth rate around 2% by the end of 2026, but inflation pressures and labor market slowdowns may complicate future monetary policy decisions [5]