141亿美元砸盘预警！指数调仓杀到，金银或迎“机械性抛售”海啸

Core Viewpoint - The Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) is undergoing a significant rebalancing, with a large scale of fund flows expected from January 4 to January 14, following the principle of "sell winners, buy losers" due to the performance disparity between precious metals and oil [2][10]. Fund Flow Breakdown - The rebalancing will involve approximately 20% of daily trading operations, with a notable focus on selling precious metals and buying underperforming commodities [2][10]. - Precious metals are expected to face over $14 billion in nominal selling pressure, with silver alone facing up to $7.1 billion and gold $7 billion in sell orders [4][6][14]. Market Insights - Analysts from Scotiabank and other banks suggest that despite the anticipated selling pressure on gold and silver, fundamental factors may still support their prices, advising investors to consider buying on price dips caused by these fund flows [4][5][12]. - The energy market is highlighted as having significant potential, particularly natural gas, which is expected to transition from being heavily sold to a net buying commodity due to a 23% price drop since early December [15]. Specific Commodity Insights - Cocoa is experiencing a notable influx of buying funds, with 56% of its open contracts affected, indicating potential volatility in this market [16]. - Brent crude oil is projected to see a net inflow of $3.6 billion, while WTI crude oil is expected to see $2.4 billion, reflecting a shift in investor sentiment towards energy commodities [7][19].