超百亿，净流出

Core Viewpoint - The stock ETF market in China has experienced a significant net outflow of over 12.6 billion yuan, marking the first occurrence of a net outflow exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2026, despite a strong performance in the A-share market [1][3]. Summary by Category Market Performance - As of January 7, 2026, the total scale of 1,291 stock ETFs (including cross-border ETFs) reached 4.72 trillion yuan, with a net outflow of 12.649 billion yuan on that day [3]. - The A-share market has shown a "spring rally" with the Shanghai Composite Index returning to 4,000 points and achieving a record of 14 consecutive days of gains [1][3]. Fund Flows - The net outflow of stock ETFs was primarily driven by wide-based ETFs, which saw a total outflow of 15.866 billion yuan, while specific ETFs like the Hong Kong stock ETFs and commodity ETFs attracted inflows of 4.086 billion yuan and 1.107 billion yuan, respectively [5][10]. - Over the first three trading days of the year, the cumulative net outflow from stock ETFs exceeded 11.9 billion yuan [3]. Specific ETF Performance - On January 7, the top three ETFs by net inflow were the Hong Kong Internet ETF, the Hong Kong Non-Bank ETF, and the Hang Seng Technology ETF, with inflows exceeding 1.151 billion yuan, 1.148 billion yuan, and 0.687 billion yuan, respectively [8][9]. - Conversely, the top ETFs by net outflow included the CSI 1000 ETF and the CSI 300 ETF, with outflows of 1.545 billion yuan and 1.545 billion yuan, respectively [11]. Future Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to remain favorable for the stock market, with anticipated acceleration in local government special bond issuance and increased government spending [12]. - The market is currently in a phase of valuation expansion, supported by long-term factors such as policy support for A-shares and a low-interest-rate environment [12].