Shell Global(US:SHEL) Globenewswire·2026-01-08 07:00Core Viewpoint - The company provides an updated outlook for Q4 2025, with expectations subject to finalization of results to be published on February 5, 2026. The outlook excludes identified items and includes various operational metrics across different segments. Integrated Gas - Q3'25 production was 934 kboe/d, with Q4'25 outlook between 930 - 970 kboe/d - LNG liquefaction volumes are expected to increase from 7.3 MT in Q3'25 to a range of 7.5 - 7.9 MT in Q4'25 - Underlying operating expenses (opex) are projected to rise from $1.1 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $1.2 - 1.4 billion in Q4'25 - Pre-tax depreciation is expected to decrease from $1.6 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $1.4 - 1.8 billion in Q4'25 - Taxation charge is anticipated to increase from $0.5 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $0.6 - 0.9 billion in Q4'25 [2] Upstream - Q3'25 production was 1,832 kboe/d, with Q4'25 outlook between 1,840 - 1,940 kboe/d, including the impact of the Adura JV incorporation - Underlying opex is expected to decrease from $2.2 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $2.1 - 2.7 billion in Q4'25 - Pre-tax depreciation is projected to decrease from $2.7 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $2.4 - 3.0 billion in Q4'25 - Taxation charge is expected to decrease from $1.9 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $1.4 - 2.2 billion in Q4'25 [3] Marketing - Sales volumes are expected to decrease from 2,824 kb/d in Q3'25 to a range of 2,650 - 2,750 kb/d in Q4'25 due to seasonal factors - Underlying opex is projected to decrease from $2.7 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $2.3 - 2.7 billion in Q4'25 - Pre-tax depreciation is expected to decrease from $0.6 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $0.5 - 0.7 billion in Q4'25 - Taxation charge is anticipated to decrease from $0.4 billion in Q3'25 to a range of $0.2 - 0.5 billion in Q4'25 [4] Chemicals and Products - Indicative refining margin is expected to increase from $12/bbl in Q3'25 to $14/bbl in Q4'25 - Indicative chemicals margin is projected to decrease from $160/tonne in Q3'25 to $140/tonne in Q4'25, with significant losses expected in adjusted earnings due to deferred tax adjustments - Refinery utilization is expected to decrease from 96% in Q3'25 to a range of 93% - 97% in Q4'25 - Chemicals utilization is projected to decrease from 80% in Q3'25 to a range of 75% - 79% in Q4'25 [5][6] Renewables and Energy Solutions - Adjusted earnings are expected to shift from $0.1 billion in Q3'25 to a range of (0.2) - 0.2 billion in Q4'25 [7] Corporate - Adjusted earnings are projected to decrease from (0.4) billion in Q3'25 to a range of (0.6) - (0.4) billion in Q4'25 [8] Shell Group - Cash flow from operations (CFFO) is expected to include a tax payment of $2.3 - 3.1 billion in Q4'25, down from $2.7 billion in Q3'25 - CFFO excluding working capital is expected to include an outflow of approximately $1.5 billion related to emissions certificates - Working capital movements are expected to include a typical payment of around $1.2 billion for German Mineral Oil Taxes in Q4'25 [9] Additional Considerations - The taxation charge across segments includes a non-cash reassessment of deferred tax assets, with an expected impact of approximately $0.3 billion split across joint ventures and associates in Marketing and Chemicals [10]