Venture(US:VEMLY) Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2026-01-08 06:52Core Viewpoint - The lithium industry has undergone a three-year adjustment period, with supply and demand fundamentals improving rapidly, leading to a price recovery from a low of 60,000 yuan/ton to over 130,000 yuan/ton [1] Group 1: Lithium Industry - Supply-side disruptions in Yichun lithium mica mines due to permit issues are causing a gradual exit from extensive mining practices [1] - Demand for lithium is primarily driven by the power battery sector, while energy storage is emerging as a new growth driver due to its economic viability [1] Group 2: Cobalt Market - The Democratic Republic of Congo is implementing an export quota system, with a 2025 quota of only 96,600 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 56%, which may lead to a tight balance in supply and demand in the medium to long term [1] - Limited incremental supply from Indonesia is also contributing to the potential increase in cobalt prices [1] Group 3: Rare Earth Market - The supply side of the rare earth permanent magnet sector is being optimized through the "Rare Earth Management Regulations" and the integration of northern and southern groups [1] - The demand for rare earths is increasing, with the proportion of new energy vehicles reaching 42%, and new applications such as humanoid robots and energy-saving motors opening up long-term growth opportunities [1] Group 4: Energy Storage Batteries - Energy storage batteries are becoming a new engine for lithium demand, with domestic shipments in the first three quarters of 2025 expected to increase by 67% year-on-year, driven by policy support and improving economic viability [1] Group 5: ETF Performance - The Guotai New Energy ETF (159387) tracks the Innovation Energy Index (399266), which has a daily fluctuation of 20%, focusing on technology innovation companies in clean energy, new energy vehicles, and energy storage technology [1]