政策利好接力，楼市能否迎来“小阳春”行情？

Group 1 - The real estate market in first-tier cities is showing signs of recovery, with significant increases in new home transaction volumes and prices [1][2][4] - From January 1 to January 2, 2026, the first "Good House Festival" in Shenzhen attracted over 5,000 visitors and resulted in a 74% week-on-week increase in new home transaction area [1] - The average price of new residential properties in 100 cities rose by 2.58% in 2025, with a notable increase in December, driven by the launch of high-end projects in core cities [2][3] Group 2 - Recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market include easing purchase restrictions for non-local families and providing housing support for families with multiple children [3][4] - The central government's economic work conference emphasized the need for targeted measures to control inventory and improve supply in the real estate sector [4] - Analysts expect that the real estate market will enter a new phase focused on stabilizing expectations and shortening adjustment times, with January being a critical month for market performance [7][8] Group 3 - The article in "Qiushi" magazine highlighted the importance of providing clear and decisive policies to restore market confidence, emphasizing that policies should be implemented comprehensively rather than incrementally [5][6] - Analysts believe that the recent policy direction indicates a shift from fragmented control to a more systematic approach, which could lead to a stabilization of the real estate market in 2026 [7] - The market is anticipated to experience a "small spring" in 2026, with positive signals emerging from both new and second-hand housing transactions [7][8]