国际观察丨非洲2026：在世界变局中厚植“非洲定力”

Core Viewpoint - Africa is strengthening its resilience and autonomy in response to global changes, aiming for a peaceful, united, and prosperous future by enhancing governance, economic transformation, and cooperation among developing nations [1] Group 1: Sovereignty Awareness - The uncertainty in the external environment has heightened the awareness of sovereignty among African nations, leading to reciprocal measures against U.S. travel restrictions [2] - African countries are increasingly recognizing that sovereignty and development rights should not be conditional upon external demands, emphasizing mutual respect in international relations [2] Group 2: Political and Economic Resilience - The year 2026 is expected to be a significant election year for Africa, with a mix of stable transitions and localized challenges [5] - Recent elections in countries like Guinea and the Central African Republic demonstrate political resilience, while upcoming elections in Uganda, Ethiopia, and Zambia are shifting voter focus towards governance capabilities rather than identity politics [6] Group 3: Economic Growth Projections - Despite global economic turbulence, Africa's economic growth is projected to exceed 4% in 2026, significantly above the global average, driven by demographic advantages and ongoing economic reforms [7] - The African Continental Free Trade Area is progressing, enhancing regional integration and economic dynamism across multiple sectors [7] Group 4: Energy and Digital Transformation - African nations are seizing opportunities from global energy transitions and the digital economy by moving from raw material exports to value-added processing in critical minerals [8] - Investments in digital infrastructure, such as 5G and submarine cables, are being accelerated to support cross-border payments and reduce reliance on the U.S. dollar [8] Group 5: China-Africa Cooperation - The year 2026 marks the 70th anniversary of diplomatic relations between China and Africa, with cooperation evolving towards more balanced and sustainable models [9] - Key projects like the Mombasa-Nairobi railway and agricultural technology centers exemplify the benefits of this partnership, which includes zero-tariff treatment for African nations [9][12] - Cultural exchanges and people-to-people connections have strengthened the ties between China and Africa, fostering mutual trust and cooperation [12]