伊朗里亚尔暴跌、骚乱持续！特朗普威胁干涉令紧张气氛升温

Core Viewpoint - The Iranian currency, the rial, is experiencing significant depreciation, leading to social unrest and protests across the country, particularly in the southwestern province of Chaharmahal and Bakhtiari, where clashes have resulted in casualties among police and civilians [1][6]. Group 1: Currency Depreciation and Economic Impact - In 2025, the Iranian rial depreciated by over one-third against the US dollar, with the exchange rate reaching 1,380,000 rials per dollar by December 31, 2025, compared to approximately 430,000 rials when the central bank governor, Farzin, took office in 2022 [3]. - The inflation rate in Iran reached 52% year-on-year in December 2025, exacerbating the economic situation for ordinary citizens, whose monthly salaries are now equivalent to just over $100 [3][6]. - The Iranian government has set an official exchange rate of 42,000 rials per dollar, while the free market rate is around 1,500,000 rials, indicating a significant disparity [3]. Group 2: Government Response and Reforms - The Iranian government has initiated a series of economic reforms, including increased monetary control and enhanced subsidies for essential goods, to stabilize the currency and improve living conditions for citizens [5]. - President Pezeshkian has ordered discussions with protest representatives to address their grievances and has announced a subsidy program for citizens starting January 10, 2026, to last for four months [4][5]. - The Iranian government views currency reform as a necessary "economic surgery," acknowledging that it may cause short-term disruptions but is expected to benefit the economy in the long run [4]. Group 3: Social Unrest and Political Context - Protests have escalated, with reports of shop owners gathering and clashing with police, leading to injuries and property damage [6]. - The unrest has been fueled by the economic crisis stemming from severe sanctions imposed by the US and Western nations since 2018, which have led to currency devaluation and high inflation [6]. - US President Trump has threatened intervention in the unrest, which has drawn warnings from Iranian officials about the potential consequences of foreign interference in domestic affairs [6][7].