汇丰:预计现货黄金2026年上半年将触及每盎司5000美元
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-08 12:22

Core Viewpoint - HSBC's chief precious metals analyst, James Steel, forecasts that gold prices may reach $5,000 per ounce in the first half of this year due to geopolitical risks and rising fiscal debt [1][3]. Group 1: Price Predictions - Short-term gold prices are expected to rise significantly, but the increase will moderate as the year progresses [1][3]. - HSBC anticipates that gold prices will fluctuate between $5,050 and $3,950 per ounce in 2026, with an estimated year-end price of $4,450 [4]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The current price surge is driven by safe-haven buying and risk aversion, partly due to a weak dollar and policy uncertainty [1][3]. - Fiscal concerns and a weakening dollar are expected to support gold prices and limit the extent of any potential pullback [4]. Group 3: Adjustments in Forecast - The average price forecast for 2026 has been revised down from $4,600 to $4,587 [2][5].