美联储鸽派言论升温 美元指数涨势放缓

Group 1 - The US Dollar Index (DXY) has paused its upward trend after two days of gains, entering a phase of narrow fluctuations as market sentiment turns cautious [1] - Recent US economic data shows a clear divergence, with employment indicators weakening while service sector data remains robust, leading to a wait-and-see approach ahead of the upcoming non-farm payroll report [1] - The service sector PMI data significantly exceeded previous values and market expectations, indicating a recovery in service activities, while signs of a cooling labor market have become a core contradiction in the current economic landscape [1] Group 2 - Market expectations suggest that the upcoming non-farm payroll numbers will be lower than previous values, indicating a potential continued weakening in employment growth momentum [2] - Various employment leading indicators have released signals of weakness, including lower job vacancy numbers and private sector employment data that, despite some improvement, remain significantly below market expectations [2] - Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials have reinforced the market's perception of a dovish stance, with calls for more aggressive rate cuts to maintain economic growth momentum [2]