Core Insights - The December survey from the New York Federal Reserve indicates a rise in U.S. inflation expectations, with consumers anticipating a 3.4% increase in prices over the next year, up from 3.2% in November [1][2] - Consumer confidence in job opportunities has dropped to its lowest level in over 12.5 years, with only a 43.1% chance of finding a new job if they lose their current one, marking a record low since the survey began in mid-2013 [1][2] - The data highlights a division among Federal Reserve officials, with some more concerned about inflation while others view rising unemployment as a greater risk, potentially leading to no changes in interest rates during the upcoming policy meeting [1][2] Consumer Financial Outlook - The survey reveals that the probability of consumers being unable to make minimum debt payments in the next three months has risen to 15.3%, the highest level since April 2020 [3] - Conversely, the proportion of respondents expecting an improvement in their financial situation over the next year has reached its highest level since February 2025 [3]
纽约联储调查：12月消费者通胀预期升高 就业信心恶化
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2026-01-08 16:15