联合国报告预测2026年全球经济增长率为2.7%

Core Insights - The UN's report on the global economic outlook for 2026 indicates resilience in the global economy amidst complex challenges, but highlights ongoing issues such as trade tensions, fiscal pressures, and rising uncertainty affecting medium to long-term growth prospects [1] - The projected global economic growth rate for 2026 is 2.7%, slightly lower than the 2.8% forecast for 2025 [1] - Despite a resilient global trade performance in 2025, the report anticipates a slowdown in global trade growth in 2026 due to rising tariffs and increased policy uncertainty [1] Economic Conditions - The global economy managed to withstand the impact of significant tariff increases by the US in 2025, supported by falling inflation and stable consumption [1] - However, persistent issues such as weak investment and limited fiscal space remain prominent, posing risks for long-term economic growth [1] Trade and Investment - Global trade maintained resilience in 2025, but is expected to slow down in 2026 due to rising tariffs and heightened policy uncertainty [1] - Investment activities continue to be constrained by geopolitical risks and fiscal pressures, contributing to a weak investment environment [1] Inflation and Policy Coordination - Global inflation levels are on a downward trend, yet high prices continue to erode real income for residents [1] - The UN emphasizes the need for countries to enhance coordination among monetary, fiscal, and industrial policies to stabilize prices while ensuring social welfare and long-term growth [1] Multilateral Cooperation - UN Secretary-General Guterres stresses the importance of strengthening multilateral cooperation and maintaining a rules-based multilateral trading system to stabilize the global economy and promote sustainable development [1]