Nvidia Is Bank of America's Top Chip Pick: AI Demand, Pricing Power Drive Growth
Benzinga·2026-01-08 18:06

Industry Overview - U.S. semiconductor industry is expected to experience 30% year-over-year growth, marking the first-ever $1 trillion year in chip sales [1] - Key drivers include strong demand visibility, secular growth from AI, and cyclical industrial inventory replenishment [2] - The PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index has risen about 7% year-to-date and 45% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500 [5] Company Insights - NVIDIA Corp: - Maintains unmatched leadership with a full-stack AI strategy and projected $26 billion in R&D spending for CY26, significantly higher than competitors [6] - Next-generation Vera Rubin platform is on track for second-half shipments, promising substantial performance improvements [7] - Expected to maintain gross margins in the mid-70% range despite rising costs, with potential upside from China H200 shipments estimated to exceed $40 billion [8] - Credo Technology Group: - Recent sell-off presents a compelling buying opportunity, with a Buy rating maintained despite trading 34% below its 52-week high [9] - Positioned as a leader in active electrical cables, with fiscal 2027 EPS estimates up approximately 160% over the past year [10] - Analog Devices: - Maintains a Buy rating, noted for strong pricing power due to differentiated products and a favorable mix related to aerospace, defense, and AI [11] - Offers a balance of strong free cash flow generation and pricing leverage amidst macro uncertainty [12]