ACI Stock Dips 6% Despite Posting Q3 Earnings Beat & Y/Y Sales Growth

Core Insights - Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 results with sales below expectations but earnings exceeding estimates, showing year-over-year growth in both top and bottom lines [1][2]. Sales Performance - Net sales and other revenues reached $19,123.7 million, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $19,160 million, marking a 1.9% year-over-year increase driven by a 2.4% rise in identical sales, an 18% increase in pharmacy sales, and a 21% jump in digital sales [5][10]. - The temporary government shutdown and delayed SNAP funding negatively impacted identical sales by 10-20 basis points [6]. Earnings and Margins - Adjusted quarterly earnings were 72 cents per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 67 cents, with a 1.4% increase from 71 cents in the prior-year period [4][10]. - Gross profit remained flat at $5.25 billion, with a gross margin contraction of 50 basis points year-over-year to 27.4% [6][10]. Expenses and Cost Management - Selling and administrative expenses increased by 0.9% to $4.76 billion, with a decline of 20 basis points year-over-year as a percentage of net sales [8]. - Adjusted EBITDA declined 2.5% year-over-year to $1.04 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 5.4%, down 30 basis points year-over-year [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is advancing its strategic priorities by enhancing customer value propositions, expanding digital capabilities, and embedding AI and data into core operations [3]. - Ongoing investments in technology modernization and store enhancements are part of the long-term transformation strategy, despite a cautious consumer environment [3]. Financial Position - As of the end of the quarter, cash and cash equivalents totaled $195.1 million, with long-term debt and finance-lease obligations at $8.42 billion and total stockholders' equity at $2.50 billion [11]. - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 2.29X, indicating a strong balance sheet and capacity for growth funding [13]. Future Outlook - The company updated its fiscal 2025 expectations, projecting identical sales growth between 2.2% and 2.5%, adjusted EBITDA between $3.83 billion and $3.88 billion, and adjusted earnings per share between $2.08 and $2.16 [15][16]. - The anticipated impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act's Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program are expected to reduce pharmacy sales, affecting fiscal year identical sales by 16-18 basis points [17].