新年首只新券亮相 可转债发行有望加快

Core Viewpoint - The issuance of the Lianrui convertible bond marks the beginning of a potential acceleration in the convertible bond market, driven by seasonal capital inflows, policy expectations, and industry trends [1][2][4] Market Performance - On January 8, the Lianrui convertible bond was launched with a total issuance of 695 million yuan, aimed at funding high-performance materials projects and enhancing production capacity [1] - The China Convertible Bond Index rose by 0.39% to 509.26, reaching a new high since 2016, while the Bosera and Shanghai Stock Exchange convertible bond ETFs also hit historical highs [1][3] - As of January 8, the total outstanding convertible bonds in the market was 5,561.39 billion yuan, with 411 bonds currently in circulation [2] Supply and Demand Dynamics - The convertible bond market is expected to continue facing a contraction in scale due to an imbalance between supply and demand, with an estimated exit scale of around 1,600 billion yuan for 2026 [3] - Six companies have received approval for convertible bond issuance totaling 7.338 billion yuan, while five others are expected to issue bonds worth 2.911 billion yuan [2] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The recent rise in convertible bonds is significantly driven by the performance of underlying stocks, with notable gains in sectors such as aerospace, AI computing, and robotics [4] - Analysts predict that convertible bonds may experience strong performance due to the positive influence of underlying stocks and returning capital, with institutional investors likely to seek allocations at the beginning of the year [4]