QBTS' 200% Quantum Rally Leaves NVDA, AMD Behind: Can It Lead in 2026?

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) achieved over 200% share-price gain in 2025, significantly outperforming major tech companies [1][7] - The broader Computer and Technology sector gained 26% during the same period, with NVIDIA and AMD rising approximately 38.8% and 77.3% respectively [2] Company Performance - D-Wave reported rapid revenue growth and increased customer adoption, with strong liquidity and advancements in commercial quantum systems and services [4][7] - The company entered 2026 with commercially deployable technology, including production-grade quantum systems already in operation [5] - D-Wave's hybrid quantum strategy combines current annealing systems with a long-term gate-model roadmap, leading to a strong outlook for 2026 [6] Financial Outlook - D-Wave closed 2025 with over $800 million in cash and a scalable Quantum Computing as a Service platform [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2026 revenues is $41.8 million, indicating a 61.1% growth from the previous year [12] - The estimated loss per share for 2026 is 19 cents, reflecting a 7% improvement from 2025 [12][14] Market Position - D-Wave's stock trades above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating strong momentum and a bullish trend [9] - The forward 12-month price/sales (P/S) ratio for QBTS is 164.2, significantly higher than the industry average [15] Investment Considerations - Despite strong performance, D-Wave faces challenges such as uneven revenue, operating losses, and a high valuation, which may lead to volatility [8][16]