疯了？油价暴涨5%！吓人一跳，这一夜发生了啥？

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices experienced a surprising rebound, ending a two-day decline with a peak increase of over 5%, defying the general trend of significant declines in commodities [5][6][21]. Group 1: Market Performance - WTI crude oil futures closed at $57.76 per barrel, up $1.77 or 3.16% [9][25]. - Brent crude oil futures rose by $2.03, or 3.39%, closing at $61.99 per barrel [9][25]. - INE crude oil futures increased by 1.58%, closing at 424.6 yuan [9][25]. Group 2: Geopolitical Influences - The rebound in oil prices is attributed to a correction of overly pessimistic sentiments following recent geopolitical tensions, particularly regarding Venezuela and Iran [6][8][24]. - The U.S. government announced plans to indefinitely control Venezuelan oil sales, which has created uncertainty in the market [13][29]. - Venezuela's oil production has been declining due to U.S. sanctions, with a reported drop of approximately 14%, bringing production down to 830,000 barrels per day [10][26]. Group 3: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global oil inventories are reportedly increasing, indicating that supply pressures remain a significant driver of oil prices [8][24]. - The OPEC production survey showed that despite Venezuela's production decline, overall OPEC output remained stable, with Iraq increasing its production by 80,000 barrels per day [10][26]. - Rystad Energy estimates that maintaining Venezuelan oil production at 1.1 million barrels per day will require approximately $53 billion in investments over the next 15 years [11][27]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The current rebound in oil prices may not be sustainable due to ongoing supply surplus pressures and complex market dynamics [8][24]. - The first quarter of the year is suggested to focus on short-selling strategies for oil prices, emphasizing risk management [8][24].