中信证券:能源化工反内卷持续发力,行业景气度有望持续提升
Di Yi Cai Jing·2026-01-09 00:27

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in profitability as capital expenditure continues to weaken year-on-year, alongside the domestic push against "involution" [1] Investment Strategy - Focus on high-energy-consuming products such as calcium carbide, caustic soda, and yellow phosphorus, which may become effective tools in the "anti-involution" strategy [1] - Attention to segments where the initial effects of industry self-discipline are evident and steadily progressing [1] - Some products have already fallen below or are close to the industry cash cost line, which may accelerate capacity clearance, particularly for products from leading companies with significant cost advantages [1] - Chemical products with sustained price increase potential driven by new demand or strong downstream demand [1] - Chemical products related to new materials and new applications [1]