朝阳少侠：中国产能不是“过剩”，而是太少

Group 1 - China's trade surplus reached over $1 trillion for the first time in 2025, highlighting its manufacturing strength and efficiency in responding to global market demands [1][4][21] - The surplus is a result of China's evolution from labor-intensive industries to capital-intensive and intelligent manufacturing, now accounting for approximately 30% of global industrial production [3][21] - Western countries' trade policies and restrictions on China's high-tech industries have inadvertently contributed to this surplus, as they expect China to remain a low-end supplier [4][21] Group 2 - The notion of "overcapacity" in China is challenged by data showing that the production and sales of electric vehicles are closely aligned, with 14.9 million units produced and 14.78 million sold in 2025 [9][27] - China's electric vehicle exports have surged by 90.4% year-on-year, indicating strong international demand, particularly from developing countries [12][29] - The global demand for electric vehicles is projected to exceed supply, with estimates suggesting a need for 45 million units by 2030, far surpassing current production capabilities [12][29] Group 3 - China's economic strategy focuses on self-reliance and domestic circulation, with a significant contribution from domestic demand to economic growth, averaging 86.4% from 2021 to 2024 [14][31] - The government aims to enhance consumer spending and increase household income, positioning domestic demand as a priority for future economic policies [31] - China's commitment to reducing tariffs and expanding imports reflects its intention to foster mutual benefits in international trade [31][32] Group 4 - The establishment of the Hainan Free Trade Port and the ongoing China International Import Expo signify China's openness to global trade and its role as a key player in the global supply chain [32][35] - The cumulative intended transaction amount from the Import Expo has reached nearly $600 billion, showcasing China's attractiveness as a market for international goods [35] - China's manufacturing capabilities are recognized globally, with a focus on providing affordable and sustainable products, contributing to a positive perception of its role in the global economy [30][35]