半导体有望“穿越风浪”稳健发展

Core Insights - The comprehensive explosion and deep application of artificial intelligence (AI) technology in 2025 is the core driver of the global semiconductor industry [1] - The A-share semiconductor sector is expected to benefit from increased demand, leading to a new round of growth in the performance of related listed companies in 2025 [1] - The semiconductor industry index in the secondary market significantly outperformed the broader market, with a 45.99% increase in 2025 [1] Market Performance - In 2025, the semiconductor industry index rose by 45.99%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 28 percentage points [2] - Among sub-sectors, printed circuit boards saw a 144% increase, semiconductor equipment rose by 60%, and semiconductor materials increased by 36% [2] - As of January 7, 2026, the semiconductor industry index had increased by 9.12% over three trading days [1] Company Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, 172 listed companies in the semiconductor sector achieved a total revenue of approximately 506.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15% [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached approximately 43.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 43% [2] - 136 companies reported positive revenue growth, and 107 companies reported positive net profit growth [2] AI Industry Impact - The AI industry has become a major growth driver, with significant increases in revenue across the entire supply chain, including computing power, data transmission, storage, and applications [3] - Companies like Cambrian and Haiguang Information reported revenue growth of nearly 24 times and 55%, respectively, in the computing power segment [3] - The semiconductor industry is expected to exceed $800 billion in revenue in 2025, marking a nearly 20% increase from 2024 [3] Future Outlook - The semiconductor industry is anticipated to continue its growth trajectory in 2026, driven by AI as the core growth engine [4] - The expansion of the industry chain will focus on AI computing power, storage, and related equipment and materials [4] - The trend of domestic substitution is expected to remain a key driver for the semiconductor industry's development [4][5]