China consumer inflation hits fastest pace since February 2023, in line with expectations

Economic Indicators - Core inflation in December was up 1.2% year on year, unchanged from the previous month [1] - Consumer prices rose 0.8% year on year, the highest level since February 2023, following a 0.7% increase in November [2] - Monthly consumer prices grew 0.2%, exceeding the expected 0.1% gain [3] Industrial Performance - Factory-gate prices dipped 1.9% in December, better than the forecasted 2% decline, extending a deflationary streak beyond three years [1] - Industrial production growth is estimated to have edged up to around 4.9%, supported by a pickup in manufacturing activity [5] - The official purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.1 from 49.2, indicating a return to growth in manufacturing activity after eight months of decline [5] Investment and Consumption - Fixed-asset investment likely contracted by around 11.8% in December, worsening from an 11.1% decline in November [5] - Policymakers are expected to implement measures to boost consumption and stabilize the property market, although past efforts have not yielded significant results [6] - New home sales in floor space are estimated to fall by 7% in 2026 after an 8% decline in 2025 [6] Profitability and Market Dynamics - Industrial firms experienced a profit drop of 13.1% year-on-year in November, marking the steepest decline in over a year [7] - Carmakers have initiated a new round of price cuts and perks due to sluggish demand and the withdrawal of part of a tax incentive for electric vehicles [8]