纽约金震荡但长线看多逻辑未改

Group 1 - The latest price of February gold futures is $4481.00 per ounce, down $6.90 from the previous close, reflecting a decline of 0.16% [1] - The trading range for the day is between $4485 and $4493.7 per ounce, with an opening price of $4489.30, which is higher than the previous close of $4487.90 [1] Group 2 - The U.S. non-farm payroll report for December 2025 is expected to show an increase of approximately 60,000 jobs, with an average hourly wage growth of 0.3% month-on-month and a year-on-year increase of 3.6%, while the unemployment rate is projected to slightly decrease to 4.5% [3] - Market expectations indicate that the Federal Reserve is likely to pause interest rate cuts this month unless there is a negative job growth or the unemployment rate rises above 4.7% [3] - The report's release may be overshadowed by a Supreme Court ruling on Trump's "emergency" tariffs, potentially limiting immediate market volatility [3] Group 3 - February gold futures closed at $4436.00 per ounce, significantly down from $4475.6, indicating a short-term correction phase [4] - The price has effectively broken below the upper Bollinger Band, with the RSI falling to around 50, shifting from a neutral to a balanced state [4] - Despite the significant increase in actual non-farm payroll data to 1.369 million, which exceeded the expected 690,000, gold prices did not experience dramatic fluctuations as the market had already priced in the positive news [4] - Major institutions like Goldman Sachs, UBS, and JPMorgan maintain a target price for 2026 between $4900 and $5055, driven by ongoing central bank gold purchases and expectations of Fed rate cuts [4]