沪指冲击4100点后，A股将如何表现？

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles discusses the potential performance of the A-share market and the implications for future investments, highlighting historical trends and the impact of market sentiment on stock movements [1][2] - Historical data indicates that while consecutive market gains can boost short-term sentiment, they often lead to subsequent periods of consolidation or correction, as seen in past instances of sustained market rallies [1] - The long-term upward trend of the stock market is supported by economic fundamentals and corporate value development, as evidenced by the recovery of the Japanese stock market post-2020 [1] Group 2 - The analysis emphasizes the importance of capital flow in influencing market movements, noting a significant increase in long-term capital participation, particularly from insurance companies, with their stock investment balance reaching 3.62 trillion yuan by Q3 2025, a nearly 50% increase from the end of 2024 [2] - Margin trading remains active, with a margin balance of 2.6 trillion yuan as of January 7, reflecting a 41% year-on-year growth, and financing buy-ins accounting for 11.47% of the total trading volume on that day [2] - Despite the lack of significant net inflows from foreign capital as of December 31, 2025, major institutions like Goldman Sachs express optimism about opportunities in the A-share market for 2026, indicating potential future foreign capital inflows [2]