蓝厅观察丨日本右翼核野心日益膨胀 国际社会当联合遏止

Core Viewpoint - Japan's right-wing ambitions for nuclear weapons development pose a serious threat to global peace, as highlighted in a recent report released in Beijing [1][3][15]. Group 1: Japan's Nuclear Ambitions - The report outlines Japan's historical pursuit of nuclear weapons, its capability to produce weapon-grade nuclear materials, and its military potential to deploy nuclear weapons [3][5]. - Japan has accumulated plutonium far exceeding its civilian nuclear energy needs, indicating it is just a step away from crossing the nuclear threshold [3][9]. - The right-wing's increasing nuclear ambitions signal a dangerous resurgence of Japanese militarism, warranting heightened vigilance from the international community [3][9]. Group 2: Policy Changes and Military Expansion - Recent statements from Japanese officials suggest a potential abandonment of the "Three Non-Nuclear Principles," with discussions around nuclear submarine acquisition and the need for Japan to possess nuclear weapons [7][11]. - The push for nuclear sharing and enhanced deterrence commitments reflects a broader trend of Japan's military rearmament and rightward shift in policy [7][10]. - Japan's defense budget has seen continuous growth for 14 years, with projections indicating a 40% increase in revenue for its top five defense companies in 2024 [11]. Group 3: International Implications - The report emphasizes that Japan's right-wing movements are not isolated incidents but part of a calculated strategy to revive militarism and escape international constraints [7][9]. - Japan's actions could significantly elevate nuclear risks in the region and globally, challenging the principles of nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament [15]. - The international community is urged to closely monitor Japan's nuclear developments, especially in light of the upcoming review conference for the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons [15].